Layoffs, Logs, Lowballs: Work’s New Math

Low unemployment can still hide a labour crisis. This week: underemployment in plain sight, AI reshaping work without shrinking headcount (until it does), surveillance and “proof-of-work” culture, and the slow slide from careers to gigs. Plus The Cut List.

By James Robbins 11 min read
An empty open-plan office with rows of desks and chairs under bright ceiling lights, suggesting unused workspace after job cuts or reduced headcount.
The modern workplace, post-restructure: plenty of desks, fewer people, and a KPI somewhere insisting this is “efficiency.”

If you’ve been told the job market is “fine” because unemployment is low, congratulations: you’ve met the modern workplace’s favourite magic trick.

The trick works like this. People have jobs, so the headline looks healthy. Meanwhile the quality of those jobs, the hours, the pay growth, the stability, the pathways, are quietly getting shaved. Add AI investment on one side and restructures on the other, and you get a new workplace maths problem: more measurement, more output, less slack.

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The hidden labour crisis: underemployment is the real headline

Underemployment is the story beneath the story. People are working, but not necessarily at their level, not necessarily with enough hours, not necessarily with enough security, and not necessarily with a path that leads anywhere.

That matters for employer brand because underemployment creates a workforce that looks “stable” on paper while behaving like it’s in a permanent audition. People apply more, move faster, hoard optionality, and stop trusting corporate reassurance. It also reshapes hiring. Employers read the surplus as choice. Candidates experience it as congestion.

Employer Brand POV
Stop reading labour markets through unemployment alone. If you want to win talent, compete on progression and predictability: clear role scope, clear pay logic, clear internal mobility, and fewer “we’ll see” career promises.

📌 Sources

The Hidden Labour Crisis Behind Low Unemployment Rates
Headline unemployment figures still look relatively stable across many economies. Beneath those numbers sits a growing class of underemployed workers patching together income through gigs, freelance work, consulting, and side hustles, while struggling to regain stable employment.
Why underemployment deserves attention, even if it is voluntary
Being underemployed by choice still carries consequences, including skills atrophy Read more at The Business Times.
Worried about your job? You’re not alone. But there are proven ways to ease job insecurity
Australians’ sense of job insecurity is now as bad as it was in COVID, when unemployment hit 6.4%. Yet there are steps that can help turn fear into action.
  • https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/opinion-features/modern-worker-trouble
  • https://www.wsj.com/economy/jobs/jobs-men-employment-data-ec4d6d68
  • https://www.businessinsider.com/college-grad-landed-full-time-job-unemployment-guilty-2026-5

AI isn’t just automating work. It’s changing who gets paid, hired, and watched

This week’s AI thread isn’t “AI will take your job.” It’s more specific, and frankly more useful: AI is changing the rules of the workplace.

You can see the contradiction in one neat pairing. One story argues AI is writing most of the code at a top AI firm, yet headcount grows because demand grows and new work appears. Another shows a company declaring jobs “obsolete” while revenue hits records. The narrative isn’t consistent because the reality isn’t consistent. Some organisations are using AI to widen capacity. Others are using it to justify a reset.

The MIT study adds a sharper, less comfortable angle: automation can be used as leverage over wages, not just as a path to efficiency. That’s the part leaders rarely say out loud. When automation becomes a bargaining chip, the employee experience shifts from “augmentation” to “replaceability.”

And then there’s monitoring. When companies track activity, usage, or productivity as part of their AI programmes, employees hear the subtext immediately: “prove you deserve your seat.”

Employer Brand POV
If AI changes expectations, the deal must be explicit. What work is being removed, what work is being added, what skills are rewarded, and who carries the risk when tools are wrong. If your only answer is “be more productive,” you are not building adoption. You’re building resentment with better UX.

📌 Sources

Anthropic CFO Krishna Rao says: While AI now writes 90% of the company’s code, we have hired a lot more people because ...
Anthropic’s chief financial officer Krishna Rao says artificial intelligence now writes 90% of the company’s code, but still the AI giant is hiring more people than ever. According to a report by Business Insider, speaking on Patrick O’Shaughnessy’s Invest Like the Best podcast, Rao explained how AI is transforming white-collar work inside one of Silicon Valley’s leading AI companies.
Cloudflare says AI made 1,100 jobs obsolete, even as revenue hit a record high | TechCrunch
Cloudflare announced its first large-scale layoff. CEO Matthew Prince says because of AI efficiency gains, the company doesn’t need as many support roles.
AI isn’t paying off in the way companies think. Layoffs driven by automation are failing to generate returns, study finds | Fortune
A Gartner study found that while 80% of companies surveyed reported workforce reductions, there was no correlation to higher ROI.
  • https://www.indiatoday.in/jobs/story/cloudflare-fires-1100-employees-due-to-ai-use-read-full-memo-here-tchc-2908463-2026-05-08
  • https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/07/cloudflare-net-q1-2026-stock-earnings-layoffs.html
  • https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/10/tech/ai-taking-jobs
  • https://www.cbsnews.com/news/ai-layoffs-job-cuts-challenger-report-april-2026/
  • https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/08/this-company-made-headlines-for-its-aggressive-ai-driven-layoffs-citi-says-its-paying-off.html
  • https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/05/ai-use-work-employee-monitoring-tech-surveillance.html
  • https://news.mit.edu/2026/study-firms-often-use-automation-control-certain-workers-wages-0507
  • https://www.forbes.com/sites/dianehamilton/2026/05/10/why-employees-struggle-to-explain-what-they-do-at-work/
  • https://www.forbes.com/sites/dianehamilton/2026/05/08/why-getting-more-done-at-work-is-creating-more-workplace-pressure/

Remote work isn’t dying. It’s being renegotiated

Remote work coverage this week reads like a relationship status update: “it’s complicated.”

On one side, there’s a pragmatic case that flexible, collaborative remote options support innovation and productivity. On the other, employers keep trying to pull work back into stricter shapes. The friction isn’t just about location. It’s about trust, autonomy, and who gets to define “real work.”

The key employer branding angle: people don’t leave because they hate offices. They leave because the policy reveals what leadership believes about them.

Employer Brand POV
If you want credibility, stop selling flexibility as a vibe. Publish operating rules: team norms, availability expectations, escalation paths, and how performance is judged across locations. Ambiguity is what turns hybrid into resentment.

📌 Sources

In an era when workers are returning to offices, here’s how Dropbox is making remote jobs work
Many companies have ended remote work arrangements that began during the coronavirus pandemic. But San Francisco technology company Dropbox has no plans to return its workers to offices.
One of the world’s leading WFH experts says remote work is making America more productive
America has been experiencing a productivity boom for the past five years, and economists are debating what’s driving it.
Why keeping collaborative remote work environment options open is key for business innovation
Companies have a lot to gain from implementing external corporate innovation programs such as sending their employees on work placements in open labs.
  • https://www.ft.com/content/8ee0d3ef-9548-422d-8ff1-ebd48ad4b2ca?syn-25a6b1a6=1
  • https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2026/05/11/america-is-experiencing-a-productivity-miracle
  • https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2026/05/11/china-wants-more-robots-but-not-fewer-workers

Engagement is collapsing because the system is exhausting

Engagement is a lagging indicator. It doesn’t drop because people collectively forgot how to care. It drops because the workplace keeps asking for more emotional output while removing the conditions that make effort sustainable: clarity, fairness, time, and believable progression.

This week’s pieces sharpen the point. Engagement is hitting lows, quitting behaviours are shifting, and “success” is being redefined by younger workers who have watched too many adults burn out for a calendar invite and a badge.

Add a note on “fractional” work and you get the long-term implication: for many people, the stable career is no longer a default. Work becomes a portfolio. Employers who still want loyalty will have to earn it with systems, not slogans.

Employer Brand POV
If engagement is dropping, don’t commission another values campaign. Fix the operating model: workload design, manager expectations, pay logic, and the basic experience of being hired, developed, and promoted.

📌 Sources

‘Employers are increasingly turning to degree and GPA’ in hiring: Recruiters retreat from ‘talent is everywhere,’ double down on top colleges | Fortune
Hiring skills over people is no longer en vogue as firms deprioritize DEI and cut down on recruiting costs.
This AI startup is giving every employee a 10% raise every year, without any performance review
AI startup Lovable has introduced a policy granting full-time employees who meet expectations a 10 per cent salary rise on each work anniversary.
The ‘peanut butter raise’ trend is faltering in the AI era as companies find it hard to justify paying super users the same as everyone else | Fortune
Only 4% of employers still spread raises equally across the board, according to Mercer.
  • https://www.forbes.com/sites/aparnarae/2026/05/13/employee-engagement-hit-a-10-year-low-the-problem-isnt-people—its-organizational-systems/
  • https://www.inc.com/marcel-schwantes/employees-quitting-trends-work-institute-research-center/91340127
  • https://www.forbes.com/sites/deloitte/2026/05/13/how-gen-zs-and-millennials-are-redefining-success-at-work/
  • https://www.inc.com/bruce-crumley/why-gen-z-is-happier-running-small-businesses-than-working-traditional-jobs/91341108
  • https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/opinion-features/fractional-future-work
  • https://www.fastcompany.com/91522203/the-end-of-the-always-available-professional-workplace-burnout-boundaries
  • https://www.wsj.com/health/wellness/dont-get-too-comfortable-your-quality-of-life-depends-on-it-a4440a85

The Cut List

The Cut List is our weekly roundup of layoffs and restructuring moves, focused on what changed, what it means for talent confidence, and what people leaders should do next.

What moved

Cisco is cutting thousands of roles while leaning into AI-focused restructuring. Cloudflare says AI made a large number of roles obsolete. LinkedIn is planning cuts. PayPal is also cutting as it shifts spending priorities. GM has announced layoffs. There’s more noise around Meta’s repeated cutting cycles and internal tension.

What it means

Layoffs now travel with an “AI” label attached, whether or not AI is the real driver. That changes how every AI rollout is heard. Employees assume the tool is part of a headcount equation, so even sensible adoption plans can trigger fear.

Employer Brand POV

If you restructure, communicate like a grown-up. Explain the reason, the support, and what happens next. If you’re hiring, be loud and specific. In a jittery market, clarity is a competitive advantage.

📌 Sources

Cisco to cut about 4,000 jobs in AI-focused restructuring as orders surge
Shares of the networking equipment maker soared almost 19 per cent in extended trading on May 13. Read more at straitstimes.com. Read more at straitstimes.com.
GM cutting hundreds of salaried IT workers as it trims costs, evaluates needs
General Motors is laying off hundreds of salaried employees in its information technology operations.
Meta’s New Reality: Record High Profits. Record Low Morale
Next week, Meta is cutting about 10 percent of its staff. WIRED spoke with more than a dozen current and former employees about what it’s like inside a company where “everyone is unhappy.”
  • https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cisco-to-cut-about-4000-jobs-in-ai-focused-restructuring-as-orders-surge-200934836.html
  • https://techcrunch.com/2026/05/08/cloudflare-says-ai-made-1100-jobs-obsolete-even-as-revenue-hit-a-record-high/
  • https://www.indiatoday.in/jobs/story/cloudflare-fires-1100-employees-due-to-ai-use-read-full-memo-here-tchc-2908463-2026-05-08
  • https://www.reuters.com/business/world-at-work/linkedin-is-planning-lay-off-5-staff-latest-tech-sector-cuts-source-says-2026-05-13/
  • https://finance.yahoo.com/news/exclusive-linkedin-planning-lay-off-140835735.html
  • https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/technology/tech-news/paypal-to-lay-off-thousands-as-company-ceo-wants-to-spend-more-on-technology-tells-investors-first-we-will-remove-/articleshow/130885435.cms
  • https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/technology/articles/100-000-layoffs-later-meta-162613378.html
  • https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/technology/tech-news/meta-is-laying-off-8000-employees-this-month-and-ceo-mark-zuckerberg-has-a-clear-message-for-staff-we-are-streamlining-teams-so-they-arent-bigger-than/articleshow/131009667.cms
  • https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/society-equity/meta-us-employees-organize-protest-against-mouse-tracking-tech-2026-05-12/

Closing thoughts

The labour market is not just tightening. It’s fragmenting.

Underemployment is becoming normal. AI is becoming leverage. Monitoring is becoming routine. Careers are becoming portfolios. And engagement is fading not because workers are lazy, but because the system keeps asking for more while offering less certainty in return.

If you want a credible employer brand right now, don’t chase applause. Build a workplace that is legible: fair deals, clear rules, and honest trade-offs.


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Anonymous practitioner takes on employer branding, talent, and recruitment. The things that rarely survive the official version. Published by Employer Branding News.